Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: Current Trends for SUPERGIRL, JACKASS, MOANA, Nolan’s THE ODYSSEY and More
Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: Current Trends for SUPERGIRL, JACKASS, MOANA, Nolan’s THE ODYSSEY and More
As TOY STORY 5 gears up for boffo box office this weekend, summer's back half continues to show plenty of potential.
Photo Credits: Warner Bros. (”Supergirl”); Disney (”Moana”); Universal (”The Odyssey”)
With no major studio wide releases set for July 24, the weekend between The Odyssey and Spider-Man: Brand New Day, this week’s report is brief as we begin the long Juneteenth/Father’s Day weekend with a four-week update available to all free subscribers.
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Key Tracking Factors & Rationale:
Supergirl‘s social media review embargo lifted this week, with positive-to-mixed reactions. As always, we caution that full review embargoes can often be more meaningful (this one lifts next Wednesday), but that’s not a universal rule.
That said, pre-sale trends across our national samples currently point toward a front-loaded weekend with Thursday previews likely to land ahead of The Marvels($6.6 million). This puts a potential weekend debut bordering around $40 million on the table, although our pinpoint is remaining “bullish” within the set spectrum of forecasts to account for the possibility of the current holiday weekend deflating short-range growth. We’ll monitor next week for final forecasts.
Similarly, trends for Jackass: Best and Last won’t be especially useful until closer to opening day as is common with comedies. Still, current forecasts align with our pros and cons outlined in previous reports.
Following two of the biggest on-sale dates of the year, The Odyssey and Spider-Man: Brand New Day are now settling into a month of full marketing machine power. The former of the two remains on course with our previous ranges, while Spidey has remarkably high potential that we’ll cover in an upcoming report.
5-Week Box Office Tracking & Forecasts as of 6/18/26
All forecasts and tracking ranges are reflective of how the films are trending or expected to trend ahead of release. They are not intended as final forecasts or predictions and are subject to revision at any time based on evolving market conditions and various circumstances factored into our modeling.